It . January 10, 2022 DFS Golf Picks Digest the data, predictions, and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open in Hawaii, and check out our PGA Lineup Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA (select parishes)/MD/MI/NH/NJ/NY/OH/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. Now, were finally catching fire again, with Gdula cashing another winner at the WM Phoenix Open (Scottie Scheffler, 13-1) and Rick Gehman correctly predicting Jon Rahms Genesis Invitational victory at +750. (Subscribe for video or audio).Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Torrey Pines is spilt between Poa and Bentgrass between the courses. Fading Hideki. Five of the top seven golfers in the Official World Golf Ranking are scheduled to compete, led by world No. All Rights Reserved. Augusta National, Danielle Kang moonlights as a putter maker(! You can see who else to back this week at SportsLine. He hasn't finished higher than 13th in the past four years at Riviera. And which undervalued golfer is a must-roster? McClure is a DFS pro with over $2 million in career winnings, and he's been red-hot on his PGA Tour picks this season. Normally, great drivers have a glaring weakness somewhere tee to green that limits their upside, but Scheffler has been above average greenside (68th SG/around the green) and remained 81st in SG/approach despite an underwhelming swing season. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. There are key metrics that serve as early indicators for when tour pros appear on the verge of a breakout season. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career. Would one of the big three be the best golfer to anchor your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf picks? When your one-elite skill (driving) is one of the most valuable a golfer can possess, its really only a matter of time before enough putts fall to stand in the winners circle. Especially at this course, one he hasnt turned up at since 2011, likely for the same reasons as all the other big-time players - its impossibly hard, theres water everywhere and it makes the worlds best look like us. Hes been on a heater with back-to-back top-three finishes before the MC in Phoenix. His recent performance backs that up, as he has four victories and seven top-five finishes in his past nine worldwide events. Who should you back with your Fantasy golf picks? And last week, bargain pick Matt Kuchar ($7,900) posted a top-10 finish and two more picks were in the top 15. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Min Woo Lee (25-1, BetMGM) Our caddie makes great points on Min Woos form in the U.S. Itd be a great story to see him win, but its a tough ask at these odds. This is strange for a player with plus distance and minus accuracy, however four of his best five career finishes have come here at Pebble (T2, T5), Sony (T7), and The Heritage (T4). Bermuda: Russell Knox. American Express: Cameron Young. About; Careers . You can only see his fantasy golf rankings and Genesis Invitational picks at SportsLine. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Powers: Chris Kirk The Florida Swing is when Chris Kirk eats and youd have to think this would be his best chance to finally break his win drought against a weak field. ), surges up leaderboard in Singapore, Here's the prize money payout for each golfer at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Padraig Harrington is squeezing out the last bit of game from a career with highs and a few regrets, You missed the boat on the Caddyshack "Seafood" yacht, which just sold to a Rhode Island professor, The good, the bad and the unknown about the PGA Tours new Designated Events model, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoing drastic change, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoes another drastic change. Now he enters a tournament where his iron play is the class of the field, ranking ninth in this field in SG/approach over his last 36 rounds. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. 11:51 am ET, see the latest daily Fantasy golf picks, advice and player pool from SportsLine's Mike McClure, Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023, Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, PGA DFS: 2023 Sony Open picks, lineups, advice, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Poston currently ranks 20th in greens in regulation percentage (73.89%) and 29th in driving accuracy percentage (66.20%), so confidently lock him in your PGA DFS lineups and look for a big return this week at the 2023 Sony Open. Scheffler finished the year ranked fifth in strokes gained/off the tee and 13th in SG/tee-to-green. He has not had a top-10 in 20 events, so this is clearly the "new caddie, new spark" feeling I got here. He has been writing and broadcasting about golf for nearly 20 years. Monterey Peninsula has the largest greens in the rotation at 6,000 square feet, which is still slightly below TOUR average. This guy seems to tear it up overseas on the DP World tour, but hasnt been able to catch his footing over here in the states. Responsibly put your life savings on this matchupresponsibly. The Spaniard's improvement on and around the greens makes him a player without weakness. Caddie: Min Woo Lee (25-1, BetMGM) As the fifth-highest odds this week, DK believes this guy has a chance to make some noise. So we asked these experts to dig through those numbers to give us their predictions for players who are likely to routinely deliver on their odds and fantasy prices for 2021and help put more money in your pockets. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Hes stumbled from tee-to-green recently, losing strokes to the field in four of his last seven measured events. Or would a player with recent success at Riviera, like 2021 winner Max Homa (20-1) or 2022 runner-up Morikawa (21-1), put you in a better position to win? When youre researching the statistics keep this in mind as half the rounds golfers have played historically at this event are not weighted in the Strokes Gained metrics. Mayo (@ThePME) won the 2021 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and was a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Not only did he top 10 here a year ago, this years field has lost some of its star power compared to recent years, so look for Lee to be in the mix on Sunday. While I am dubious on the 35-year-olds chances to raise the trophy, I expect him to find his way into contention this week in Palm Beach Gardens. Shane Lowry: Lowry is hopefully getting on the right track again after a T-14 finish at Riviera. He also has the third-highest salary on DraftKings, but his placement odds are more reasonableso I think hes a smart top-10 or top-20 bet. While Scheffler was routinely priced up in the betting markets against weaker fields, the 24-year-old actually did his best work among the elites. Since 2000, the leader or co-leader after 54 holes has gone on to win 13 times, including eight of the past ten years. The Honda Classic, once an event that tracked tons of top pros including Tiger Woods, has its weakest field in recent memory, with not a single player inside the top 17 in the world rankings teeing it up at PGA National this week. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. NeSmiths more of a daily fantasy target on FanDuel than someone who is knocking at the door for a victory, but all of the underlying data is there to believe in a strong season. Just hope this is the week it all click for him. Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and has been playing and following the game closely for more than three decades. Caddie: Ben Griffin (+130, Day 1 three-ball) over Dylan Frittelli and Sean OHair (DraftKings) Griffin at +130 on Bermudagrass seems like a steal. I dont bring this up to dub Henley the next JT but rather to magnify how good Henley has been over a large sample. Tough scene. Its tough trusting Merritt on a weekly basis since he tends to lose one facet of his game every start. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated after each round. From Gehman: Redman has all the makings of a breakout candidate. McClure is also a predictive data engineer at SportsLine who uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every tournament 10,000 times, taking factors like statistical trends, past results and current form into account. PGA Tour Fantasy Golf Select your lineup of 4 starters and two bench players to enter. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on . A lack of red flags in any area has helped get him six top-20 finishes since August. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Last year, Hoge became the outlier opening 65/1 in the betting market. It feels like Lee has been on the verge of a breakout for a while and this week could be the opportunity for him. Hes in great company as the others are Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The American Express in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our DFS expert's case for playing this breakout star at PGA National. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Why an early morning par from a club pro to make the cut at Bay Hill made seven other tour pros very, very happy, Players 2023: The Bomb and Gouge era is over. Doc Redman's elite ball-striking numbersplus some great finishes to end 2020have the attention of our experts. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. But that was on different grass. That at least gives me hope for a few outlier weeks on the putting surfaces. Gdula: Harris English (34-1, FanDuel) Englishs odds shortened up a lot after a T-12 at the Genesis, but almost all of that was from putting. This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. 2022: Tom Hoge (-19, 2 clear of Jordan Spieth), 2021: Daniel Berger (-18, 2 clear of Mav McNealy), 2020: Nick Taylor (-19, four shots clear of Kevin Streelman), 2019: Phil Mickelson (-19, three shots clear of Paul Casey), 2018: Ted Potter (-17, 3 clear of Day/Mickelson/Reavie/DJ), 2017: Jordan Spieth (-19, 4 clear of Kelly Kraft), 2016: Vaughn Taylor (-17, 1 clear of Mickelson), Mayos Key Stats powered by FantasyNational.com. 1. The 28-year-old is one of the best on the planet, but he was 143rd in strokes gained around the green last season, and his putter can be streaky. Gdula: Brandon Wu (95-1, FanDuel) Wu is pretty accurate with the driver and tends to gain strokes off-the-tee. Shot Link data is only available for Pebble Beach GL. Now, Holliman has ranked his top golfers for The American Express 2023, and revealed his Fantasy golf picks and advice. Here are our. Sungjae Im is still showing up like he always does, and guys like Aaron Wise, Shane Lowry and Denny McCarthy will be in Palm Beach looking for a signature win. With the $20 million purse on the line . All winners this millennium had previously made a cut at Pebble Beach in their career before winning, and most had a top 10 finish on their resume. If his game travels at all this week, he should be a solid option in most formats. For more fantasy, check out Qualifiers and Reshuffle. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. The Northern Irishman was actually down by 10 through two holes Sunday but stormed back to claim the title. Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. At Pebble Beach, six of Holliman's picks finished in the top 15, including champion Justin Rose and top-five finishers Denny McCarthy and Keith Mitchell. The 29-year-old has finished in the top 10 three times in five events this season, but only one was in the top five. Looking at it another way, Blixt, Suh, Blair, Kuchar, William McGirt, JB Holmes, Taylor Moore, Denny McCarthy, Troy Merritt, and McNealy are the only players in this field gaining against the field in over 70% of rounds on Poa putting surfaces over that stretch. But his play on and around the greens is bound to regress to his typical level. Here are our. The ball-striking has been really good lately, and he can scramble and putt as well as anyone here, which can be clutch given how difficult of a test this can be. Hence the extra consideration for SG: Around The Green. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. But, Pebble has been a happy spot for him over the years. All Rights Reserved. Out of those players listed, Wolffs odds have the best valueyou can find Wolff to win the PGA Championship at 50-1 odds. managing editor: Denny McCarthy (28-1, DraftKings) Dennys been playing some great golfcontending at Pebble Beach (fourth-place) and playing well last week at the Genesis (T-14)and I think hes finally ready to break through for a victory. 2 Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. They're a must-see for any PGA DFS player. Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. Our betting panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from PGA National; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; Gdula and your two authorstends to run hot once one of us hits an outright. Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2023 Pebble Beach Picks. Kisner and Dahmen are making their first starts of 2023. He finished fourth here in 2021, so this place fits his eye. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Gdula: Cameron Davis (-110) over Sepp Straka (FOXBet) Davis holds a massive tee-to-green advantage over Straka, who goes as his putter goes. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Matsuyama is the defending champion of this event and he's won eight times on the PGA Tour. Munoz is also 14th on tour over the past 100 rounds in Opportunities Gained, a FantasyNational stat that indicates birdie chances. 2. Hes cashed this bet in 6.25 percent of his starts since January 2019and while that is a small percentage of the time, you'll reap the benefits (usually with odds of 50-1 or greater) when it happens again. THINK YOU'RE BETTER THAN OUR EXPERTS? Whether you're betting on golf, playing in a fantasy golf leagues or competing in a DFS (DraftKings, FanDuel) event, our picks highlight the top players to watch this week. Over the past two years, Varner trails only Brooks Koepka, Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy in the number of times his name has been on top of the leader board after 18 holes. He just cant find ways to make putts. Anyone who has followed Holliman's predictions is way up on their golf picks. Poston at . Both stats combine to form the cumulative strokes gained/ball-striking, putting Conners third on tour. On average, Ancer cost $8,279 on DraftKings and returned an average of 62.79 DraftKings points per start. Alex Noren: Noren is kind of in that Russell Henley territory as a guy that gains strokes in somewhat unspecatacular fashion. Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, and find out. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Ancer continues to show up in big events, and theres no reason to think that will end in 2021. 6. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media. So what are the top PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Sony Open? McNealy has long been on the verge of a breakthrough, and tends to do his best work on shorter courses with small greens. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in. Chris Kirk: Kirk missed the cut at Phoenix in somewhat surprising fashion, but I expect a bounceback. He was in the bottom 10-percentile in strokes gained/putting and was 237th of 280 players in SG/around the greens. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Although the distance is non-existent, the Brit has been the most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National. How to set your 2022 Tour Championship Fantasy golf rankings. My guy Joe Idone (@TourPicks on Twitter, go follow him if you dont already) is the king of the Honda Classic, and Denny is his guy hes picking Denny Dirt to break through this week, and Im completely on board. Please play responsibly. The likes of Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Will Zalatoris also are part of The American Express 2023 field that is among the best in the tournament's 63 years. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. To go along with four made cuts in five appearances at PGA National, Poston also possesses a strong resume on courses with lots of water that emphasize middle irons, with high finishes at TPC Twin Cities, TPC Sawgrass and TPC Southwind. Tiger Woods also will be teeing up Thursday at Riviera, alongside the likes of Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf rankings for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, all from the fantasy expert with his finger on the pulse of the game, and find out. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA/IL) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN only) or 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA only) or 1-800-522-4700 (CO Only) or TN REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Im confident that changes this week in Palm Beach. Since 2020, for players with at least seven measured rounds on Poa, Jonas Blixt, Justin Suh, Zac Blair, Kevin Kisner, Brice Garnett, Matt Kuchar, and Maverick McNealy are all averaging +0.9 SG:PUTT per round on Poa greens. NeSmith has 98 rounds on the PGA Tour, via FantasyNational, and in those, hes gained strokes tee to green in 50.7 percent of them, as well 62.7 percent of his rounds from approach play, the most important stat of them all. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). Im secured a T-13 finish at last week's Sentry Tournament of Champions and he'll enter this week's event confident he can have another strong showing in Hawaii. Its wild to think about this, but if you put Henleys statistical profile next to Justin Thomas, they look very similar, aside from JTs elite off-the-tee game.
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