The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Or stalk me (with love.). Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? That's a pretty straightforward calculation. So far, so good. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Please pass this post along. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Step 1. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Those who are brave (foolish?) The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? 7 distinct works Similar authors. This button displays the currently selected search type. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Are they gross exaggerations? 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Yet here we are. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. But lets think about this some more. Step 3. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Do you know the odds of being alive? By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Thats a pretty good trip. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Maybe that one would have been better. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Scripture says. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Step 3. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. On one try.. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Is that an African fly or a European one? Why? In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Same to all of us. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Step 4. Whoa. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! saving. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Step 1. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Now things start getting interesting. Thats going to take a LONG time. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Something was dropped and then picked up. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. But on all probability it would. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Dr. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. But lets make it longer. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thank you, Monsignor. But let's think about this some more. I hope you use your chance well. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. How fast does a laden fly fly? I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count.
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